OpenAI Inc. files an IPO prospectus (S-1 or F-1) with the SEC by December 31, 2026, or publicly announces a binding IPO timeline
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 14. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. December 2026
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Based on: Speculative
OpenAI completed its restructuring to a Public Benefit Corporation in 2025 — the legally necessary precondition for a stock market listing. Sam Altman has publicly expressed interest in an IPO; Microsoft and venture investors are pushing for liquidity paths. The latest funding round valued OpenAI at ~$300–340 billion. Metaculus calibration implies ~33% probability of an OpenAI IPO by end of 2026. Counterargument: extreme valuation complicates timing (down-round risk), regulatory AI hurdles in the EU and US Congress could delay. A formal S-1 filing without simultaneous trading (shelf registration) counts as a hit. No existing Cassandra prediction for OpenAI.
Data basis for this prediction
- OpenAI PBC-Restrukturierung abgeschlossen 2025 (OpenAI Blog / Reuters 2025)
- OpenAI Bewertung letzte Finanzierungsrunde: ~300–340 Mrd. USD (Bloomberg/WSJ, 2025)
- Metaculus: OpenAI IPO bis Ende 2026 ~33 % (kalibrierte Schätzung, Stand Juli 2026)
- Sam Altman IPO-Aussagen: Bloomberg/WSJ Interviews 2025–2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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