OpenAI achieved annual revenue exceeding USD 10 billion in calendar year 2026 (January–December), confirmed by OpenAI press release, Bloomberg, or The Information by March 31, 2027
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. December 2026
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Based on: Speculative
OpenAI reported an annualized revenue (ARR) of approx. USD 12.7 billion in early 2026 according to The Information. The company closed a Series-F funding round in March 2026 at a valuation of over USD 300 billion. With the GPT-5 generation (predicted by existing Cassandra forecast to launch by end-2026), Enterprise ChatGPT growth, API revenues, and the ChatGPT Pro subscription (USD 200/month), annual revenue >USD 10 billion in calendar year 2026 is highly likely. Key risks: intense competition from Google Gemini and Anthropic, and potential regulatory restrictions. Metaculus consensus sees OpenAI ARR at end-2026 at USD 10–15 billion.
Data basis for this prediction
- The Information / Bloomberg: OpenAI ARR ca. $12,7 Mrd. (Anfang 2026)
- OpenAI Series-F März 2026: Bewertung >$300 Mrd. (Bloomberg/Reuters)
- Metaculus: OpenAI-Jahresumsatz 2026 Konsens $10–15 Mrd. (Stand Juli 2026)
- ChatGPT Pro-Abonnement: $200/Monat – signifikanter Umsatzbeitrag seit Launch Ende 2024
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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