NYMEX Natural Gas (Front Month NG) Closes Above $3.20/MMBtu on October 31, 2026 (Confirmed by NYMEX Closing Price or Bloomberg by November 1, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 1. October 2026
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Predicted for 31. October 2026
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Based on: Speculative
NYMEX Natural Gas (front month) trades at approximately $2.91–3.01/MMBtu on October 1, 2026. EIA STEO September 2026: Q4-2026 average $3.57/MMBtu — 5% below Q4 2025 due to above-average storage (EIA forecast: 3,969 Bcf on October 31, 2026 = 5% above the five-year average). The $3.20 threshold sits approximately 7–10% above spot. Drivers: With a Q4 average of $3.57 and a linear price ascent, October would end around $3.10–3.30; winter peak for January 2027 expected at $4.60/MMBtu. Headwinds: Elevated storage (5% above five-year average) suppresses price risk; EIA explicitly places Q4 2026 at 5% below last year's level. No Polymarket market found for this price level. Short-dated nat gas implied volatility: 50–70% annualized.
Data basis for this prediction
- NYMEX Natural Gas (NG1): ~2,91–3,01 USD/MMBtu (Investing.com / oilpriceapi, 1. Oktober 2026)
- EIA STEO September 2026: Q4-2026 Henry Hub Ø 3,57 USD/MMBtu; US-Speicher 31. Oktober 3.969 Bcf (+5 % ggü. 5-Jahres-Ø)
- Rigzone: 'EIA Raises Henry Hub Price Forecasts for 2026 and 2027' (15. Juli 2026)
- EIA Natural Gas Weekly: US-Produktion ~106 Bcf/d; LNG-Exporte ~15–16 Bcf/d (Oktober 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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✦ AI
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