NY Empire State Manufacturing Index July 2026 Beats Consensus of 5.7 Points at Release on July 15, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 13. July 2026
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Predicted for 15. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index for July 2026 is released July 15 at 8:30 AM ET. Consensus: 5.7 points (matching June, after a sharp drop from 19.6 in May). Investing.com's calendar preview showed '8.7' as the actual value — possibly a data pre-load or early-release artifact, but suggests upside surprise potential. Historically, regional Fed surveys beat consensus ~55–60% of the time during expansion phases. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing was most recently positive. Counter-risk: the Hormuz crisis (since July 11) could weigh on near-term industrial orders.
Data basis for this prediction
- Investing.com Economic Calendar: Empire State Juli 2026 – Konsens 5,7 Pkt, Actual-Indikation 8,7 (Stand 13. Juli 2026)
- Trading Economics: Empire State Juni 2026 actual 5,7 Pkt; Mai 2026: 19,6 Pkt
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing: zuletzt im positiven Bereich (Juni 2026)
- NY Fed: Veröffentlichungskalender 15. Juli 2026, 08:30 ET
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] NY Empire State Manufacturing Index Juli 2026: Istwert 9,30 – übertrifft den Konsenswert von 5,70 Punkten deutlich. (Quelle: investing.com Wirtschaftskalender)
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