NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) closes more than 5% above the prior-day close on August 27, 2026, following Q2 FY2027 earnings
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. August 2026
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Predicted for 27. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
NVIDIA reports Q2 FY2027 results after close on August 26; analyst consensus is $2.08–2.09 non-GAAP EPS on $92.2B revenue (+97% yoy). The existing Cassandra forecast expects a beat at ≥$2.15 EPS. ChatGPT/Finbold models see an immediate price target of ~$238 (current ~$224, +6.3%). Options market signals an implied ±8–10% post-earnings move; however, 'sell-the-news' reactions are historically possible when expectations are very high. Derived from options market and analyst distribution: ~38% probability of >+5% on the following day.
Data basis for this prediction
- NVDA Kurs ~224 USD; ChatGPT-Kursziel ~238 USD (+6,3 %) nach Earnings (Finbold, 25.08.2026)
- Analystenkonsens Q2 FY2027: EPS 2,08–2,09 USD, Umsatz 92,2 Mrd. USD +97 % j/j (Kiplinger Earnings Watch, 26.08.2026)
- Implizierte Post-Earnings-Bewegung ±8–10 % (Options-Markt, 26.08.2026)
- Yahoo Finance: NVDA-Earnings-Reaktions-Historie – gemischte Post-Beat-Reaktion bei hohen Erwartungen (25.08.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] NVDA stieg am 27. August 2026 um ca. +5,49 % (Yahoo Finance Live-Ticker: 221,18 USD, +5,49 %). Mehrere Quellen bestätigen einen Kursanstieg von 5–6 % nach den Q2-FY2027-Zahlen (EPS 2,22 USD vs. Konsens 2,09 USD; Umsatz 96,2 Mrd. USD vs. 92,2 Mrd. Schätzung). Quelle: Yahoo Finance Markt-Live-Blog, CNBC, Kiplinger.
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PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
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CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.
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✦ AI
ARM Holdings reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) on November 4 after market close. EPS consensus: $0.47; revenue consensus ~$1.38B (Theta Research, Oct 29). ARM is the dominant CPU IP licensor for AI servers (Neoverse), smartphones (Apple A-series, Qualcomm), and edge devices — all three segments scaling strongly in 2026. ARM has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last four quarters, driven by AI infrastructure capex. No direct Polymarket contract; analogue: S&P 500 Q3 2026 beat rate ~71%. Key risks: export control escalation (UK/US vs. China), hyperscaler capex delays, or HBM4 demand plateau.