NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) Reports Q2 FY2027 Total Quarterly Revenue Above $95.0 Billion (26 August 2026, after close; confirmed by NVIDIA press release)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. August 2026
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Predicted for 26. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
The analyst consensus (40 analysts) for NVIDIA's Q2 FY2027 total revenue is $92.07B; NVIDIA's own guidance is $91B ±2% (upper bound: $92.82B). A threshold of $95B would be ~3.2% above the guidance ceiling and ~3.2% above consensus. NVIDIA has consistently beaten its own guidance in each of the last six quarters. Existing predictions only address the Data Center segment (>$80B) and adjusted Non-GAAP EPS ($2.07/$2.08); total consolidated revenue has not been separately predicted. No direct Polymarket market; implied probability ~42% based on historical beat rate and magnitude.
Data basis for this prediction
- Intellectia.ai/Alphastreet: 'NVDA Q2 FY2027 Earnings Preview – Revenue Consensus $92.07 Mrd., EPS $2.09, Guide $91 Mrd. ±2 %' (21. Aug 2026)
- NVDA Company Guidance Q2 FY2027: $91,0 Mrd. ±2 % = Bandbreite $89,18–$92,82 Mrd. (Mai 2026)
- Alphastreet: 'Estimate revisions: modest upward momentum, EPS up 0.5 % over past 30 and 90 days' (Aug 2026)
- Reuters/Bloomberg: NVIDIA hat in den letzten 6 Quartalen die Guidance übertroffen (historische Beat-Rate)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
NVIDIA meldete für Q2 FY2027 (berichtet am 26. August 2026) einen Gesamtumsatz von 96,2 Mrd. USD – deutlich über der Vorhersage-Schwelle von 95,0 Mrd. USD. Dies entspricht einem Wachstum von 18 % gegenüber dem Vorquartal und 106 % gegenüber dem Vorjahr. Der Analystenkonsens von ~92,2 Mrd. USD wurde damit um rund 4 Mrd. USD übertroffen. Quellen: NVIDIA Pressemitteilung (SEC 8-K, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001045810/000104581026000073/q2fy27pr.htm), Fortune (https://fortune.com/2026/08/26/nvidia-results-q2-earnings/), Quiver Quantitative (https://www.quiverquant.com/news/NVIDIA+NVDA+Q2+Revenue+Hits+%2496.2+Billion+as+Net+Income+Reaches+%2459.7+Billion).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.