NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) remains the world's most valuable listed company by market cap on July 31, 2026 (market cap > Apple and Microsoft)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
NVDA closed at $202.81 on July 17, 2026 (Yahoo Finance). With ~24.4B shares outstanding, market cap is ~$4.95T — well ahead of Apple (~$3.1–3.3T) and Microsoft (~$2.93T at $394.01). Polymarket (July 18, 2026) shows 82% probability NVDA remains the most valuable company at end of July. The next NVDA earnings (Q2 FY2027: Aug 26) falls after the deadline. Sustained AI chip demand (Blackwell H200/B200) supports the valuation premium.
Data basis for this prediction
- NVDA Kurs 17. Juli 2026: 202,81 USD → Mktcap ~4,95 Bio. USD (Yahoo Finance)
- Polymarket 'Largest Company End of July 2026' – NVDA: 82 % (Polymarket, 18. Juli 2026)
- MSFT Kurs 17. Juli 2026: 394,01 USD → Mktcap ~2,93 Bio. USD (Yahoo Finance)
- Apple Mktcap-Schätzung Juli 2026: ~3,1–3,3 Bio. USD (verschiedene Quellen)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Die Vorhersage ist eingetreten. Am 31. Juli 2026 stieg NVDA um 2,9 % auf 200,75 USD je Aktie, was einer Marktkapitalisierung von ca. 4,86 Bio. USD entsprach – und damit Platz 1 weltweit. Apple lag bei ca. 4,51 Bio. USD (Platz 2), Microsoft darunter. Bemerkenswert: Am 27. Juli 2026 hatte Apple NVIDIA kurzzeitig als wertvollstes Unternehmen überholt (CNBC: 'Apple ends day as world's most valuable company, passing Nvidia'), doch NVIDIA erholte sich bis zum Stichtag 31. Juli wieder. Quellen: GuruFocus ('NVIDIA Reclaims Market Value Lead'), CNBC (27. Juli 2026), TradingKey ('World's Largest Companies by Market Cap July 2026').
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.