💻 Technology · Next Week

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the world's largest company by market capitalization on July 31, 2026 (ahead of Apple Inc., NASDAQ: AAPL)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

77%

Polymarket assigns 77% probability to NVIDIA as the world's largest company by July 31, 2026; Apple follows at 24%. NVIDIA's lead rests on sustained AI chip demand (H100/H200/Blackwell), strong forward guidance, and institutional inflows. NVIDIA's own quarterly result (Q2 FY2027) is not until August 26 — no negative earnings event before the deadline. Apple reports July 30, but overtaking NVIDIA would require a multi-percentage-point surge. Polymarket anchor: 77%.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket: NVDA 77%, AAPL 24% als größtes Unternehmen per 31.07.2026 (Stand 26.07.2026)
NVIDIA Q2 FY2027-Ergebnis erwartet 26. August 2026 – Nvidia IR / EarningsCompass
Apple Q3 FY2026-Ergebnis 30. Juli 2026 – Apple IR

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

NVIDIA war am 31. Juli 2026 tatsächlich das wertvollste Unternehmen der Welt. Apple hatte NVIDIA zwar kurz am 27./28. Juli 2026 überholt (Apple ~4,95 Bio. USD vs. NVIDIA ~4,76 Bio. USD), doch NVIDIA erholte sich und hielt zum offiziellen Stichtag 31. Juli 2026 die Spitzenposition (Marktkapitalisierung ~5,3 Bio. USD vs. Apple ~4,6 Bio. USD). Polymarket löste den Markt mit NVIDIA bei 100% auf – kein Dispute. Quellen: Motley Fool (2026-07-31, fool.com/investing/2026/07/31/apple-just-passed-nvidia…), Polymarket-Auflösung (polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727).

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