💻 Technology · Next Week

Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) remains the world's most valuable company by market capitalisation at the close of trading on July 31, 2026 (ahead of Apple Inc.)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

70%

Polymarket gives a 70% probability that Nvidia defends its top market cap position through end of July 2026 (as of July 22, 2026). Apple is priced at 29% for the #1 spot. Nvidia's market cap stands at approx. $4.97T; Apple briefly overtook it on July 17 at ~$4.88T but has since fallen behind. Nvidia benefits from sustained AI infrastructure demand (AMD competition priced in), while Apple faces iPhone pricing pressures and China risks. This is a separate prediction from the already-open December 31, 2026 forecast.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket (22.07.2026): Nvidia 70 %, Apple 29 % für #1 Marktkapitalisierung Ende Juli 2026
CryptoBriefing / Yahoo Finance (Juli 2026): Nvidia ~4,97 Bio. USD Marktkapitalisierung
Poly Prediction / X (22.07.2026): Apple kurzzeitig #1 am 17.07.2026 bei ~4,88 Bio. USD
Polymarket Stocks (22.07.2026): NVDA 41 % Chance auf Kursrückgang Woche 20.–26. Juli

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Die Vorhersage traf nicht ein. Apple überholte Nvidia am 27. Juli 2026 dauerhaft und beendete den Tag als wertvollstes Unternehmen der Welt (~4,94–5,0 Bio. USD vs. Nvidia ~4,75–4,83 Bio. USD). Am 28. Juli 2026 überschritt Apple erstmals die 5-Billionen-USD-Marke. Damit war Apple – nicht Nvidia – zum Handelsschluss am 31. Juli 2026 die wertvollste börsennotierte Gesellschaft. Ausschlaggebend: Kursanstieg der Apple-Aktie (+22 % YTD 2026) durch Investorenpräferenz für Unternehmen mit zurückhaltendem KI-Capex, kombiniert mit relativer Schwäche bei Nvidia. Quellen: CNBC (27.07.2026), Yahoo Finance, Quartz (27.07.2026).

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