⚽ Sports · Next Week

Noah Lyles (USA) wins the 100m final at the 2026 World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest (11–13 September 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 5. September 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

62%

Noah Lyles is the reigning Olympic champion (Paris 2024, 9.784 s) and World champion (Tokyo 2025) over 100m. The Ultimate Championship selects only the 16 best sprinters of the year, making the field stronger and more compressed than a standard Diamond League final. Lyles leads the 2026 world rankings but remains more vulnerable than Duplantis: Ferdinand Omanyala (KEN), Letsile Tebogo (BOT) and Oblique Seville (JAM) can surprise at this level. No prediction market found. Own estimate: 62%.

Data basis for this prediction

World Athletics Ultimate Championship 2026 Budapest: 11.–13. September, Format 16 Athleten je Disziplin (Wikipedia, 05.09.2026)
Noah Lyles: Olympiasieger Paris 2024 (9,784 s), Weltmeister Tokio 2025 (World Athletics)
World Athletics 2026 100m-Weltrangliste: Lyles an Position 1 (World Athletics, abgerufen 05.09.2026)

Verdict: Miss

Noah Lyles trat im 100-m-Finale beim World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026 (12. September 2026) nicht an – er musste wegen anhaltender Verletzungsprobleme auf den Wettkampf verzichten und fungierte stattdessen als 'Ultimate Star' (MC/Creative Adviser) des Events. Den Titel gewann Kenny Bednarek (USA) in 9,85 s vor Oblique Seville (JAM, 9,90) und Ronnie Baker (USA, 9,93). Die Vorhersage scheiterte nicht an der Einschätzung der sportlichen Stärke von Lyles, sondern an seinem verletzungsbedingten Ausfall. Quellen: worldathletics.org – Bednarek-Siegbericht (https://worldathletics.org/en/competitions/world-athletics-ultimate-championship/2026/news/report/report-men-100m-world-ultimate-championship-budapest-26); nbcsports.com – Lyles-Verletzungsmeldung (https://www.nbcsports.com/olympics/news/noah-lyles-injury-track-and-field)

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