Nikkei 225 (TSE: ^N225) closes above 64,000 points on July 31, 2026 (confirmed by TSE close or Bloomberg)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
·
Predicted for 31. July 2026
·
Based on: Ongoing Event
The Nikkei last closed at approximately 64,611 on July 24, 2026. The BoJ meeting on July 31 (existing open forecast: hold at 1.00%) is the key event; a hold is priced in. Headwind: a modest JPY strengthening is expected (existing open forecast: USD/JPY < 162.50 on July 31), weighing on export-heavy Nikkei stocks. A drop of over 0.9% within the week would be needed to breach 64,000 — possible but not the base case.
Data basis for this prediction
- Yahoo Finance: Nikkei 225 Schlusskurs 24. Juli 2026 ~64.611 Punkte
- Bestehende offene Prognose (Cassandra.news): BoJ hält Leitzins am 31. Juli 2026 unverändert bei 1,00 %
- Bestehende offene Prognose (Cassandra.news): USD/JPY schließt am 31. Juli 2026 unter 162,50
- Kalibrierungshistorie: Nikkei 68.500-Prognose per 25. Juli 2026 verfehlt (Ist: ~64.611)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
BP reports Q2 2026 on August 4, 2026 (07:00 BST, live Q&A with CEO Meg O'Neill and CFO Kate Thomson). Brent crude was elevated in Q2 2026 (April–June) due to Middle East tensions, crossing $100/bbl by late July (+7% WoW). Under Meg O'Neill, BP has rationalized its cost base. The $2.0B threshold is below expected Q1 2026 levels and appears achievable in the current price environment. No Polymarket data; ~60% probability.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The FOMC meets July 28–29, 2026. The fed funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75% (effective 3.62%) after multiple cutting cycles. Polymarket shows 79% probability of no change. Core PCE is ~4.2%, but Chair Kevin Warsh has sent no explicit hike signals. Initial jobless claims for the week of July 18 hit a 57-year low (187k). Despite Polymarket pricing 36% odds of a 25bp hike, data supports another pause.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
MPC meets July 30, 2026 (Super Thursday with full Monetary Policy Report and Governor press conference). Bank Rate has held at 3.75% through four consecutive meetings. SONIA futures markets price 86% probability of no change (14% chance of a rise to 4.00%). The June MPC vote was 7-2 for hold — two hawkish dissents signal growing hike inclination, but no majority. Easing US-Iran tensions have reduced energy price pressure, supporting another pause.