📈 Economy · Next Week

Nikkei 225 (TSE: ^N225) closes above 64,000 points on July 31, 2026 (confirmed by TSE close or Bloomberg)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

65%

The Nikkei last closed at approximately 64,611 on July 24, 2026. The BoJ meeting on July 31 (existing open forecast: hold at 1.00%) is the key event; a hold is priced in. Headwind: a modest JPY strengthening is expected (existing open forecast: USD/JPY < 162.50 on July 31), weighing on export-heavy Nikkei stocks. A drop of over 0.9% within the week would be needed to breach 64,000 — possible but not the base case.

Data basis for this prediction

Yahoo Finance: Nikkei 225 Schlusskurs 24. Juli 2026 ~64.611 Punkte
Bestehende offene Prognose (Cassandra.news): BoJ hält Leitzins am 31. Juli 2026 unverändert bei 1,00 %
Bestehende offene Prognose (Cassandra.news): USD/JPY schließt am 31. Juli 2026 unter 162,50
Kalibrierungshistorie: Nikkei 68.500-Prognose per 25. Juli 2026 verfehlt (Ist: ~64.611)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Der Nikkei 225 schloss am 31. Juli 2026 bei 64.362,02 Punkten – deutlich über der Schwelle von 64.000. Der Index legte sogar +4,03 % (2.494 Punkte) zu, nachdem die Bank of Japan den Leitzins wie erwartet bei 1,00 % beließ (8:1-Abstimmung, Bloomberg 31.07.2026). Damit trat das Basisszenario der Vorhersage ein: BoJ-Hold als eingepreist, kein ausreichender Rückgang, um unter 64.000 zu fallen. Quellen: Infoseek/Yomiuri (https://news.infoseek.co.jp/article/yomiuri_20260731_gyt1t00268/) und Bloomberg BoJ-Meldung (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-31/bank-of-japan-holds-interest-rate-steady-at-1-as-expected).

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