📈 Economy · Next Week

Nikkei 225 (Tokyo) closes above 69,200 points on July 18, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 15. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

50%

The Nikkei 225 closed at 68,751 on July 15, 2026 (+1.49%; TradingEconomics). A weak yen — separate Cassandra signal sees USD/JPY above 160 on July 18 — structurally supports Japan's export-heavy index. Soft US CPI data (July 15) improved global risk appetite; Bitcoin (+4.4%) and US indices gained. Headwind: pre-election nerves ahead of the July 20 Sangiin vote could trigger Friday profit-taking. No Nikkei forecast markets on Polymarket/Kalshi. Own estimate: ~50%.

Data basis for this prediction

Nikkei 225 Schlusskurs 15.07.2026: 68.751 Punkte (+1,49 %) (TradingEconomics)
US CPI Juni 2026: unter Konsens – globaler Risikoappetit gestiegen (Yahoo Finance, 15.07.2026)
Japan Sangiin-Wahl: 20. Juli 2026 (NHK World)
Eigene Kalibrierung: ~50 %

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Der Nikkei 225 schloss am Freitag, 17. Juli 2026 bei 64.141,12 Punkten (−4,03 %), weit unter 69.200. Am Samstag (18. Juli) kein Tokioter Börsenhandel. Quelle: Bloomberg, EBC Financial Group 'Nikkei Falls 4% Into Correction' (17. Juli 2026).

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