📈 Economy · Tomorrow

Nikkei 225 (N225, Tokyo) closes below 63,500 points on July 25, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. July 2026 · Predicted for 25. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

33%

The Nikkei 225 fell ~2.73% on July 24, 2026 to close at 64,611 – well below its June 2026 all-time high of 73,007. Drivers: Tesla's Q2 2026 disaster (GAAP EPS $0.32 vs. $0.53 consensus; net loss –$4.75bn; stock –14.5% AH), broad tech sector pressure and WTI crude at $90.56/barrel (+25.9% MTD), which is structurally negative for energy-import-dependent Japan. A further 1.7% decline on July 25 would push the index to 63,500 or below. No Polymarket anchor available; own estimate 33% (base case: slight stabilisation after dramatic –2.73% day).

Data basis for this prediction

Nikkei 225 Schlusskurs 24.07.2026: 64.611 (–2,73 %), Trading Economics
Nikkei 225 Juni-2026-ATH: 73.007 Punkte, Trading Economics
Tesla Q2 2026: GAAP-EPS 0,32 USD (Konsens 0,53 USD), Nettoverlust –4,75 Mrd. USD, Aktie –14,5 % AH – Teslarati / Electrek
WTI-Rohöl 24.07.2026: 90,56 USD/Barrel (+25,92 % MTD), Trading Economics / Forbes Advisor

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Nikkei 225 schloss am 24. Juli 2026 bei ca. 64.611 Punkten – weit über der Schwelle von 63.500.

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