NFL Week 2: Baltimore Ravens defeat New Orleans Saints at home (M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD, September 20, 2026, confirmed by NFL.com or AP by September 21, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. September 2026
·
Predicted for 20. September 2026
·
Based on: Statistical Pattern
Baltimore is an 8.5-point home favorite (ML: Ravens −420 / Saints +330). Kalshi moneyline prices Ravens at 80% win probability; FanDuel model at 72.5%. In Week 1, Ravens posted 41 points vs. Indianapolis while New Orleans lost in OT vs. Detroit. Saints defense is considered vulnerable against power running teams. Implied bookmaker probability: ~80% Ravens win.
Data basis for this prediction
- Kalshi Moneyline Ravens 80 % / Saints 23 % (Stand 18.09.2026)
- FanDuel Research Win-Probability-Modell: Ravens 72,5 % (18.09.2026)
- CBS Sports / RotoWire: Ravens −8,5 Pkt., O/U 47,5, ML −420 (NFL Week 2, 18.09.2026)
- Canal Street Chronicles: Ravens klarer Favorit, Saints 0-1 nach OT-Niederlage (17.09.2026)
Verdict: Miss
Die Vorhersage war falsch. Die New Orleans Saints gewannen das Auswärtsspiel in Baltimore mit 24:17 (Endstand Saints 24 – Ravens 17). Die Ravens führten zur Halbzeit mit 14:6, kassierten aber eine Aufholjagd der Saints: QB Tyler Shough erzielte den entscheidenden Touchdown auf 4th-and-Goal mit noch 1:28 auf der Uhr, Safety Julian Blackmon besiegelte den Sieg mit einer Interception auf dem nächsten Ravens-Drive. Die Saints gewannen trotz einer 80 %-Siegwahrscheinlichkeit für Baltimore und trotz ihrer schwachen Woche-1-Leistung. Quellen: ESPN (Saints 24-17 Ravens, Sep 20 2026), neworleanssaints.com Game Recap, baltimoreravens.com ('Ravens Fall to Saints in Home Opener'), NFL.com Game Center.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Manchester City (2026/27 record: 5-1) host SSC Napoli on 24 November 2026 at the Etihad. Bookmaker odds imply ~80% for a City home win (quote ~1/4); a Napoli away win trades at ~10/1 (~9% implied). Statistical models assign City 66% win probability and a draw 18%. Napoli have never won away against a Premier League top-6 side in this Champions League season. Market anchor: bookmaker odds imply 79–80%; own estimate follows the conservative model value of 66%, as Napoli historically respond better to continental pressure than their domestic form alone suggests.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
BVB sits 2nd in the Bundesliga after 8 matchdays (18 pts) with the best defence in the league (6 goals conceded). Bookmaker odds for a Dortmund home win imply ~79% (quote ~1.26); statistical models put BVB at 74.96%. Expected Goals: BVB 2.47 xG vs. Elversberg 0.81 xG. Elversberg failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures — no other club in the division is currently as barren on the road. Probability set slightly below market implied to account for Elversberg's proven giant-killing capacity this season.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
RB Leipzig have never lost a Bundesliga home fixture against FC Augsburg (10 games: 9 wins, 1 draw). Augsburg are currently on a 6-match winless run (3 draws, 3 losses) — the longest such drought in the top flight right now. Winger Antonio Nusa is in excellent form; a Leipzig win would set a Bundesliga record against Augsburg. Bookmaker odds imply ~60% (quote ~1.65); the unblemished home record and Augsburg's poor form justify raising the estimate to 65%.