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NFL 2026/27 Week 1: Los Angeles Chargers defeat Arizona Cardinals at home (SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA, September 13, 2026, confirmed by NFL.com or AP by September 14, 2026)
Probability
80%
The Los Angeles Chargers are one of the biggest home favorites of all of Week 1 2026 with a moneyline of –625 (Cardinals +455) and a spread of –11.5 points. Implied win probability from the moneyline is approximately 81%. Kalshi also rates the Chargers above 80% win probability. Arizona is a rebuilding team without playoff ambitions; the Chargers feature an established starting QB and superior roster depth. CBS Sports and ESPN confirm the Chargers as top favorites of the afternoon slate. Covers.com shows Chargers with –11.5 among the three largest spreads of the week.
Data basis for this prediction
- NFL Week 1 2026 Moneyline: Chargers –625, Cardinals +455; Spread –11,5 (CBS Sports / Covers.com, Sept 2026)
- Implizierte Siegwahrscheinlichkeit Chargers: ~81 % (berechnet aus ML –625)
- ESPN NFL Week 1 Betting Odds 2026: Chargers als größter Heimfavorit der Woche (espn.com)
- Kalshi: Chargers Win Probability Week 1 > 80 % (kalshi.com, Sept 2026)
Verdict: Miss
Die Vorhersage ist klar nicht eingetreten. Arizona Cardinals gewannen das Spiel am 13. September 2026 in SoFi Stadium mit 26:14 gegen die Los Angeles Chargers. Die Chargers verloren nicht nur das Spiel, sondern deckten auch den Spread von –11,5 Punkten nicht (sie verloren um 12 Punkte). Rookie-Headcoach Mike LaFleur (Cardinals) feierte seinen Einstandssieg, QB Jacoby Brissett und TE Trey McBride führten Arizona zum Upset. Quellen: ESPN (Cardinals 26-14 Chargers), chargers.com Game Recap ('Chargers Fall to Cardinals'), Pro Football Network ('Arizona Stuns Los Angeles').