💻 Technology · Next Week

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) beats Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $0.79 per share on July 16, 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 16. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

70%

Netflix reports Q2 2026 after market close on July 16. Analyst EPS consensus stands at approximately $0.79 adjusted per Hudson Labs. The stock lost ~20% YTD and recently traded around $73–76 — expectations were already meaningfully revised down, which classically raises the beat probability. Netflix beat EPS in five of the last six quarters; the ad-supported tier and live sports content support subscriber growth and ARPU. No specific prediction market available. A miss is possible if content costs surprised to the upside.

Data basis for this prediction

Hudson Labs Q2-2026-Vorschau NFLX: EPS-Konsens ~0,79 USD, Ergebnisdatum 16.07.2026
StockTitan: Netflix Earnings-Ankündigung Q2-2026 für 16.07.2026 bestätigt
Yahoo Finance NFLX: Aktie ~73–76 USD (10.–12.07.2026), YTD –20 %

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Netflix meldete am 16. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen bereinigten EPS von 0,80 USD je Aktie und übertraf damit den Analysten-Konsens von ca. 0,79 USD (laut Hudson Labs) knapp um 1,48 %. Die Vorhersage ist damit eingetreten. Allerdings handelte es sich um einen minimalen Beat: Der sogenannte 'Whisper Number' von 0,84 USD wurde verfehlt, der Umsatz von 12,56 Mrd. USD lag hauchdünn unter den erwarteten 12,57 Mrd. USD, und der schwache Q3-Ausblick ließ die Aktie nachbörslich um mehr als 8 % einbrechen. Quellen: CNBC (cnbc.com/2026/07/16/netflix-nflx-earnings-q2-2026.html), Shacknews, Investing.com Earnings Call Transcript.

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