📈 Economy · Tomorrow

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) beats the adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $0.79 per share in its Q2-2026 earnings release (July 16, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 16. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

58%

Netflix reports Q2-2026 results on July 16 after market close. Wall Street consensus: EPS $0.79, revenue $12.58B (+13.5% YoY). Company's own guidance of $0.78 sits below consensus — a classic sandbagging signal. Netflix benefited in Q2 from WC 2026 streaming uplift and a growing ad business (target: $3B ad revenue for 2026). Risk factors: stock YTD -19%, Bernstein cut price target to $100 citing subscriber pressure. Netflix beat consensus in 2 of the last 4 quarters. Calibrated probability: ~58%.

Data basis for this prediction

Hudson Labs: Netflix NFLX Q2 2026 Earnings Preview, EPS-Konsens 0,79 USD (Stand 14.07.2026)
MoneyCheck: Netflix NFLX Stock Faces Critical Q2 Earnings Test on July 16 After 19% Decline (Stand 14.07.2026)
StockTitan: Netflix to Announce Q2 2026 Financial Results – Termin 16.07.2026 (15.06.2026)
Variety: Netflix Q1 2026 Revenue Up 16 %, eigene FY-Guidance-Basis (15.04.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Netflix meldete für Q2 2026 am 16. Juli 2026 einen bereinigten EPS von 0,80 USD je Aktie und übertraf damit den Wall-Street-Konsens von 0,79 USD knapp um einen Cent (+1,48 %). Der Übertreffer wurde u. a. durch günstige Content-Amortisierungseffekte und eine operative Marge von 33,4 % getragen. Der Umsatz mit 12,56 Mrd. USD verfehlte den Konsens (12,57–12,59 Mrd. USD) jedoch minimal. Die Aktie fiel dennoch deutlich im Nachhandel, da der Q3-Ausblick schwächer als erwartet ausfiel. Quellen: CNBC (cnbc.com/2026/07/16/netflix-nflx-earnings-q2-2026.html), Variety, Shacknews, 247WallSt.

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