📈 Economy · Next Month

Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) beats Non-GAAP EPS analyst consensus in Q3 FY2026 earnings (approx. October 15, 2026, confirmed by Netflix press release or Bloomberg)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 28. August 2026 · Predicted for 15. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

70%

Netflix has beaten EPS consensus in at least 7 of the last 8 quarters, driven by rapidly growing ad-supported tier revenue, global subscriber growth and live sports streaming (NFL Christmas games, boxing). Q3 2026 seasonally benefits from strong content releases and low churn rates. FactSet Q3 2026 consensus Non-GAAP EPS estimate is approx. $7.80–$8.20 per share. Historical beat rate of ~88% over the last 8 quarters implies ~70% probability.

Data basis for this prediction

Netflix Q2 FY2026 Earnings Release – EPS Beat vs Konsens (Bloomberg, Juli 2026)
FactSet Earnings Insight Q3 2026 Netflix EPS-Konsens ca. $7,80–$8,20 je Aktie (Stand Aug 2026)
Bloomberg Netflix Earnings Kalender – Ergebnisdatum ca. 15. Oktober 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Netflix berichtete Q3 2026 am 20. Oktober 2026 (ca. 5 Tage später als prognostiziert) einen diluted EPS von $0,87 und übertraf damit den Analystenkonsens von $0,82 (Beat: +6,1%). Quellen: SEC 8-K vom 20.10.2026, MarketBeat, Investing.com, Yahoo Finance. Der im Prognosetext genannte EPS-Bereich von $7,80–$8,20 war fehlerhaft (Verwechslung von Pre- und Post-Split-Zahlen nach dem 10:1-Split 2022), ändert aber nichts an der Kernaussage 'EPS-Konsens-Beat', die klar eingetreten ist. Interessant: Trotz des Beats fiel die Aktie nach Börsenschluss, da der Werbeerlös-Ausblick ($2,7 Mrd. statt erwartet höher) enttäuschte – das war in der Vorhersage nicht abgedeckt.

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