Nasdaq-100 (^NDX) closes above 31,000 points on September 25, 2026 (confirmed by NASDAQ closing price or Bloomberg by September 25, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. September 2026
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Predicted for 25. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
The Nasdaq-100 closed at 30,662 on September 22, 2026 (Google Finance). Breaching the 31,000 level requires a ~1.1% gain within 2 trading days. Potentially supportive: the expected SNB rate cut on September 25 (already priced into open markets) and robust US Flash PMI Composite of 53.6 for September (S&P Global, September 23, 2026). Working against: the US PCE core inflation report due September 26, which open markets price potentially at >3.3% YoY — a headwind for rate-sensitive tech. No specific Polymarket market found for this threshold; based on historical 2-day NDX volatility (~0.7% daily swing), probability is approximately 37%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Google Finance: Nasdaq-100 Schlusskurs 22.09.2026: 30.662 Punkte
- S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI September 2026: 53,6 (veröffentlicht 23.09.2026)
- KuCoin/Polymarket: Kein aktiver NDX-31.000-Markt; Fed-Rate-Hike-Markt Sep 2026 bei 53 % (23.09.2026)
- FXStreet: S&P Global PMI highlights US economic resilience September 2026 (23.09.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
FTSE 100 closed at ~10,729–10,739 on September 22, 2026, up +16.33% year-on-year. Analyst consensus for year-end 2026: 10,967–11,415 (median ~11,191–11,307). The 11,300 threshold requires +5.3% gain over ~3.5 months — ambitious but within consensus range (TraderUnion, CoinPriceForecast). UBS targets 10,800–11,000 optimistically; bullish houses forecast >12,000. No Polymarket/Kalshi market for FTSE 100 year-end found. Downside risks: UK recession fears, BoE rate path (November hike planned), geopolitical escalation.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
WTI Crude trades at ~$93.18/barrel on September 22, 2026; Brent at ~$101.51 (historical spread ~$7–8). Brent fell –3.67% on September 21 on demand-weakness signals. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market for WTI on September 25 was found. Breaking below $91 requires ~2.3% further decline in three trading days — achievable given the current strong downtrend, though Iran-US escalation risk could trigger a short-term bounce.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
France's economy remains in contraction: the revised August 2026 Composite PMI was 48.5 (after 49.4 in July), the eighth consecutive month below the expansion threshold. Trading Economics forecasts a September flash reading of 49.1 — still in contraction. France suffers from political fragmentation (minority government), a structural budget deficit above 4.5% of GDP, and weak domestic demand. The Manufacturing PMI recently recovered to 51.1 but cannot offset the weak services sector. No Polymarket contract found; probability derived from historical PMI persistence and consensus estimate.