⚽ Sports · Next Week

MotoGP San Marino Grand Prix (Misano, September 13, 2026): Francesco Bagnaia (Ducati Lenovo, ITA) wins the main race (confirmed by MotoGP.com or motorsport.com by September 13, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 9. September 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

34%

Bagnaia won MotoGP main races at Misano in three consecutive years (2022, 2023, 2024) – his statistically strongest circuit. Main rivals: Jorge Martin and Marc Marquez, also on Ducati platforms. Bookmaker odds imply ~30–36% for Bagnaia.

Data basis for this prediction

Bagnaia Misano Siege 2022, 2023, 2024 (MotoGP.com Race Results)
2026 MotoGP San Marino GP Schedule – crash.net (Sept 2026)
MotoGP 2026 Championship Standings (motogp.com, Sept 2026)

Verdict: Miss

Marc Marquez (Ducati) gewann das MotoGP-Hauptrennen in Misano am 13. September 2026, nicht Francesco Bagnaia. Bagnaia, der vom 14. Startplatz aus fuhr, crashte in Runde 6 in Turn Two aus dem Rennen. Marquez übernahm mit diesem Sieg erstmals in der Saison 2026 die WM-Führung (274 Punkte), Bagnaia fiel auf den 9. Gesamtrang mit 143 Punkten zurück – 131 Punkte hinter seinem Ducati-Teamkollegen. Obwohl Bagnaias historische Stärke in Misano (3 Siege in Folge 2022–2024) die Grundlage der Vorhersage war, verhinderten ein schlechtes Qualifying-Ergebnis und ein Rennsturz eine Wiederholung. Quellen: [mcnews.com.au](https://www.mcnews.com.au/2026-misano-motogp-race-results-marquez/) / [crash.net](https://www.crash.net/motogp/results/1104463/1/2026-misano-motogp-race-results) / [motomatters.com](https://motomatters.com/race_or_practice_result/2026/09/13/2026_misano_motogp_race_result_a.html)

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