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MotoGP – San Marino and Rimini Riviera Grand Prix 2026 (Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli, September 13, 2026): Jorge Martín (Aprilia Racing, ESP) wins the main race (confirmed by official MotoGP results or FIM)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. August 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

35%

Jorge Martín (Aprilia) leads the 2026 MotoGP World Championship after Silverstone (Round 12) with 240 points – 31 ahead of Marco Bezzecchi (209, Aprilia) and 37 ahead of Ai Ogura (203, Trackhouse). He has dominated the season with sprint and GP wins (including both at Silverstone). Misano is an Aprilia-friendly circuit (long braking zones, medium top-speed requirements, low tyre wear). Defending champion Marc Márquez (Ducati) lost heavily at Silverstone (just 1 point, 9th in sprint). No direct prediction market; Martín's current season win rate (~1 in 3 races) and Misano track affinity yield ~35% single-race win probability.

Data basis for this prediction

Crash.net: MotoGP WM-Stand nach Silverstone Round 12 – Martín 240 Pkt., Bezzecchi 209 Pkt. (August 2026)
Red Bull / Koobit: MotoGP San Marino 2026, 11.–13. September, Misano World Circuit
MotoGP.com: 2026 World Championship Standings (offiziell, Stand nach R12)

Verdict: Miss

Marc Márquez (Ducati) gewann das MotoGP-Hauptrennen beim Gran Premio di San Marino 2026 in Misano am 13. September 2026, nicht Jorge Martín. Márquez sicherte sich damit auch die WM-Führung von Martín. Marco Bezzecchi (Aprilia) stürzte dramatisch in der ersten Runde aus der Führung heraus. Martín konnte sich nicht durchsetzen. Quellen: motorsport-magazin.com, speed-magazin.de, crash.net, motomatters.com

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