🍾 Beverages · Next Month

Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ: MNST) beats Q2-2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $0.46 per share (expected ca. August 7, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 7. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

67%

Monster Beverage has beaten EPS consensus estimates in each of the past eight consecutive quarters. The estimated Q2 2026 consensus stands at ~$0.46 per share (base: Q2 2025 ~$0.43, historical growth rate 5–8% YoY). The company benefits from strong international expansion (Europe, Asia-Pacific), stable US energy drink market share, aluminum raw material normalization, and pricing power. FactSet reports an S&P 500 Q2 2026 beat rate of 75%+; Monster historically exceeds this benchmark. No direct Polymarket/Kalshi market available.

Data basis for this prediction

MarketBeat Monster Beverage Earnings History 2024–2026: 8 aufeinanderfolgende EPS-Beats
Monster Beverage Q2 2025 bereinigter EPS (Basis): ca. 0,43 USD; Wachstumsrate 5–8 % YoY
IMARC Group Energy Drinks Market 2026: globales Marktvolumen +7 % YoY; internationale Expansion als Treiber
FactSet Q2 2026 S&P-Gewinnsaison (Stand Juli 2026): 75 %+ aller berichtenden Unternehmen schlagen EPS-Konsens

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Monster Beverage meldete für Q2 2026 (Berichtsdatum: ~6. August 2026) einen bereinigten EPS von 0,60 USD und übertraf damit den tatsächlichen Analystenkonsens von 0,58 USD um ca. 3,6 %. Der Umsatz stieg um 20,2 % auf 2,54 Mrd. USD (Konsens: 2,43 Mrd. USD). Die Vorhersage (Beat des Konsens) ist klar eingetreten. Einzige Abweichung: Der angenommene Konsens von ca. 0,46 USD war deutlich zu niedrig angesetzt – der tatsächliche Konsens lag bei 0,58 USD, was auf stärker als erwartetes YoY-Wachstum (~35 % vs. angenommene 5–8 %) und internationale Expansion (Auslandsanteil +34,6 %) hindeutet. Quellen: Alphastreet (Preview, $0.58 Konsens), StockTitan/Monster IR (tatsächliche Ergebnisse), Yahoo Finance / Investing.com (Earnings Call Transcript).

Related Predictions

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Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) reports Q3 FY2026 (July–September 2026, release ~October 2026) year-over-year decline in Truly Hard Seltzer depletion volumes (confirmed by Boston Beer press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

The hard seltzer category has been in structural decline since its 2021 peak. Truly (second-largest brand after White Claw) already reported depletion volume declines of –6% to –9% YoY in Q1–Q2 FY2026. Drivers of ongoing pressure: market saturation, competition from RTD cocktails and FMBs, growth of non-alcoholic alternatives. Boston Beer itself cited 'continued category headwinds' for Hard Seltzer in recent guidance documents. A Q3 2026 reversal without external catalysts (product relaunch, price cut) is highly unlikely.

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Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE: TAP) reports organic net revenue decline year-on-year in its Q3 FY2026 quarterly report (July–September 2026, release approx. October/November 2026, confirmed by Molson Coors press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

The global beer market faces structural volume pressure in North America, collapse of the hard seltzer segment (Topo Chico, Coors Seltzer), and growing non-alcoholic competition. The energy price explosion (EU TTF +136% YoY, September 2026) increases production costs. ECB at 2.50% and Fed in rate-hiking mode weigh on household incomes and consumption. Comparable players Diageo, Pernod Ricard, and Brown-Forman are already flagged with organic revenue declines in open predictions. Molson Coors' mainstream brands (Coors Light, Miller Lite) carry higher price resilience than premium spirits — hence moderate calibration at 52%.

52%

Next Month · Predicted for 15. Nov 2026

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Brown-Forman Corporation (NYSE: BF.B) reports an organic net sales decline year-on-year in H1 FY2027 (May–October 2026, release approx. December 2026, confirmed by Brown-Forman press release or Bloomberg by December 15, 2026)

Brown-Forman (Jack Daniel's ~40% of revenue, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester) faces the same global premium whiskey downturn as Diageo and Pernod Ricard: distributor destocking, stagnant US domestic demand, weakness in Europe and Asia-Pacific. Fiscal year runs May–April; H1 FY2027 covers May–October 2026, results typically released in early December. IWSR 2026 confirms ongoing global American whiskey volume weakness. Open platform predictions for both Diageo and Pernod Ricard show the same organic decline pattern. No Polymarket market found for BF.B. Assessment: ~65% probability of organic decline.

65%

Next Year · Predicted for 15. Dec 2026