⚽ Sports · Next Week

Mollie O'Callaghan (Australia) wins gold in the Women's 100m Freestyle at the 2026 Commonwealth Games (Tollcross ISC, Glasgow, July 25, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 25. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

67%

Mollie O'Callaghan is the clear favorite for the Women's 100m Freestyle at CG 2026 per SwimSwam's preview. The Australian is simultaneously listed as the predicted winner for the Women's 200m Freestyle (July 28), with world-class form across both sprint distances supporting a double-gold expectation. The swimming program runs July 24–29 at Tollcross ISC; the Women's 100m final is scheduled for July 25 (concurrent with the men's session featuring favorite Kyle Chalmers). Top rivals Sarah Sjöström (Sweden, world record holder) and Katie Ledecky (USA) are not Commonwealth members and cannot compete. No Polymarket odds found.

Data basis for this prediction

SwimSwam CG 2026 Official Preview Index: O'Callaghan Favoritin 100m Freistil Frauen (swimswam.com, Stand Juli 2026)
Glasgow 2026: Schwimmprogramm 24.–29. Juli 2026, Tollcross ISC (glasgow2026.com)
Wikipedia: Swimming at the 2026 Commonwealth Games – Event-Übersicht (Stand Juli 2026)
SSA Swim SA Selection Criteria CG 2026: bestätigt Startberechtigung Australien (swimsa.org, Jan. 2026)

Verdict: Miss

Das Finale über 100 m Freistil der Frauen fand NICHT am 25. Juli 2026 statt. Laut Wikipedia-Artikel 'Swimming at the 2026 Commonwealth Games – Women's 100 metre freestyle' ist das Final für den Abend des 27. Juli 2026 (Day 4) angesetzt – nicht Day 2 (25. Juli). Die Day-2-Schwimmfinals vom 25. Juli umfassten stattdessen u.a. Frauen 200m Freistil, Frauen 50m Freistil, Männer 400m Freistil und die gemischte 4×100m-Freistil-Staffel (Quellen: SwimSwam Day 2 Finals Preview, olympics.com Tagesplan 25. Juli). Da das 100m-Freistil-Finale der Frauen zum Recherchezeitpunkt (26. Juli) noch nicht stattgefunden hatte und der Vorhersage-Termin (25. Juli) falsch war, kann kein Gold-Ergebnis bestätigt werden. Die Vorhersage enthielt einen falschen Veranstaltungstermin als zentrales Kriterium.

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