📈 Economy · Tomorrow

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) beats adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 4.21 in Q4-FY2026 earnings (29 July 2026, after market close, confirmed by Microsoft press release)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

82%

Analyst consensus for Microsoft's Q4 FY2026 stands at USD 4.21–4.24 Non-GAAP EPS (+15.3% YoY). Microsoft has beaten estimates in four consecutive quarters. Azure growth expected above 33% (separate platform prediction), with Copilot Enterprise and GitHub subscriptions adding upside. No direct Polymarket data; historical beat track and sector momentum (Intel Q2 2026 beat by 100%, Amazon expectations also elevated) imply >80% hit probability.

Data basis for this prediction

IG International: Microsoft Q4 FY2026 Earnings Preview – EPS-Konsens $4.21–$4.24, 21. Juli 2026
Yahoo Finance: MSFT Q4 FY2026 – Wachstum 15,3% YoY, 4 konsekutive EPS-Beats, Stand Juli 2026
247wallst.com: Intel Q2 2026 Earnings – $0.42 vs. $0.21 Konsens (+100% Beat), 23. Juli 2026
alphastreet.com: Tech-Sektor Q2/Q4-2026 Earnings Beat-Raten, Stand Juli 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Microsoft berichtete am 29. Juli 2026 einen Non-GAAP-EPS von 4,74 USD für Q4 FY2026 – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 4,21–4,24 USD (Beat von ~12 %). Auch der Umsatz übertraf mit 90,01 Mrd. USD die Schätzungen (~87,63 Mrd.). Azure wuchs sogar um 43 % (vs. erwarteten ~40 %) und überschritt erstmals 100 Mrd. USD Jahresumsatz. Der außergewöhnlich starke EPS-Beat wurde teilweise durch einen 3,2 Mrd. USD Gewinn aus der Anthropic-Beteiligung begünstigt. Quellen: Microsoft Investor Relations (microsoft.com/en-us/investor/earnings/fy-2026-q4), Zacks/TradingView, 247wallst.com.

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