Thursday, 23. July 2026 · Next update: 06:00 DE EN Log in
Cassandra.news
Tomorrow's news. Today.
💻 Technology · Next Week

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) beats the adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ca. $4.21 per share in Q4 FY2026 earnings (July 29, 2026, after close)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
73%

Microsoft CFO Amy Hood guided Q4 FY2026 revenue at ~$87B midpoint. EPS consensus is $4.21–4.24 (+YoY). Microsoft benefits from accelerating Azure AI revenue (existing platform prediction: >30% growth), Copilot enterprise monetisation, and strong cloud margins. The company has beaten EPS consensus for six consecutive quarters. No structural downside risks known.

Data basis for this prediction
  • stocktitan.net: Microsoft sets Q4 FY2026 earnings release for July 29 (offiziell)
  • Yahoo Finance: MSFT Q4 FY2026 EPS consensus $4.21–$4.24 (23.07.2026)
  • CNBC: MSFT Q3 2026 earnings + Hood Q4 guidance $86.7–$87.8B revenue (29.04.2026)
  • MarketBeat: MSFT 6-quarter EPS beat track record (2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
Related Predictions
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Anthropic releases a new flagship AI model by September 30, 2026 (confirmed by Anthropic press release or availability via api.anthropic.com)

OpenAI released GPT-5.6 (variants Luna, Terra, Sol) on July 9, 2026, calling Sol its 'strongest model ever'. In the competitive AI market, Anthropic faces strong pressure to counter with a flagship Claude update. AI model cycles have compressed to 4–8 months industry-wide. Anthropic has historically released flagship updates at comparable intervals. No direct Polymarket signal; market structure and competitive dynamics support ~79%.

79%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

xAI (Elon Musk) releases Grok 4 as a publicly accessible model via the xAI API by August 31, 2026 (confirmed by xAI press release or availability at api.x.ai)

xAI released Grok 3 in February 2025. Leading AI labs (Anthropic, OpenAI, Google) typically ship new generations 9–15 months apart, placing Grok 4 most plausibly in the November 2025–May 2026 window — or if delayed, summer/fall 2026. xAI has recently expanded the Colossus cluster to 200,000 H100 GPUs. Elon Musk has publicly committed to making Grok the world's most intelligent AI. EU AI Act (high-risk obligations from August 2, 2026) may influence timing. No Polymarket/Kalshi market for Grok 4 release found; estimate based on development cadence and public xAI statements. Counterargument: xAI announces releases with little notice — delays to September–October 2026 possible.

47%
Next Month · Predicted for 31. Aug 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) remains the world's most valuable company by market capitalisation at the close of trading on July 31, 2026 (ahead of Apple Inc.)

Polymarket gives a 70% probability that Nvidia defends its top market cap position through end of July 2026 (as of July 22, 2026). Apple is priced at 29% for the #1 spot. Nvidia's market cap stands at approx. $4.97T; Apple briefly overtook it on July 17 at ~$4.88T but has since fallen behind. Nvidia benefits from sustained AI infrastructure demand (AMD competition priced in), while Apple faces iPhone pricing pressures and China risks. This is a separate prediction from the already-open December 31, 2026 forecast.

70%
Next Week · Predicted for 31. Jul 2026