💻 Technology
· Next Year
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) beats the Q1-FY2027 Non-GAAP EPS analyst consensus (c. 29 October 2026, confirmed by Microsoft press release or Bloomberg)
Probability
74%
Microsoft has beaten Non-GAAP EPS consensus for at least 15 consecutive quarters (FactSet/Bloomberg, as of Q4 FY2026). Azure growth is driven by AI demand (Copilot, OpenAI partnership); CEO Satya Nadella signalled strong pipeline demand on the Q4 FY2026 earnings call. MSFT's historical EPS beat rate stands at ≥80% over the last five fiscal years. No direct Polymarket/Kalshi market found; calibrated on historical beat rate and consensus dynamics. Purely an event and earnings forecast — no investment recommendation.
Data basis for this prediction
- FactSet / Bloomberg: MSFT Non-GAAP-EPS-Beat-Rate ≥80 % in den letzten 5 Geschäftsjahren (Stand Q4 FY2026)
- Microsoft Investor Relations: Q4 FY2026 Earnings Call – Nadella: starke Azure-KI-Pipeline (Aug 2026)
- Bloomberg EPS-Konsens-Tracking: MSFT Q1 FY2027 erwartet ca. Oktober 2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Microsoft meldete Q1-FY2027-Ergebnisse am 28. Oktober 2026 (einen Tag früher als vorhergesagt). Non-GAAP EPS: $4,89 vs. Konsens $4,72 – ein Beat von +$0,17 (+3,6%). Auch der Umsatz übertraf die Erwartungen ($92,28 Mrd. vs. $90,62 Mrd. erwartet, +1,8%). Die Vorhersage ist klar eingetreten. Quellen: Shacknews ('Microsoft MSFT Q1 FY27 earnings results beat revenue and EPS expectations'), Yahoo Finance ('Microsoft Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates as Cloud Accelerates'), MarketBeat (MSFT Q1 2027 Earnings Report).