📈 Economy · Next Week

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$7.23 per share (reporting July 29, 2026, after market close, confirmed by Meta press release)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

70%

Meta reports after market close July 29, 2026. Analyst Non-GAAP EPS consensus ~$7.23 (AlphaStreet/MarketBeat, July 2026). In Q1 2026, Meta beat $5.47 consensus with $6.43. Key drivers: AI-powered advertising (Advantage+), Reels monetization, Instagram growth. Main risk: $125–145B capex guidance for 2026 may overshadow EPS beat. Meta beat in ≥6 of last 8 quarters. No direct Polymarket odds; historical beat rate supports ~70%.

Data basis for this prediction

AlphaStreet: Meta Q2 2026 EPS consensus $7.23, Juli 2026
MarketBeat: META earnings date July 29, 2026 after close
CNBC: Meta Q1 2026 EPS $6.43 vs. $5.47 consensus (beat), Mai 2026
MEXC/Bloomberg: Meta Q2 capex guidance focus, Juli 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Meta berichtete am 29. Juli 2026 einen tatsächlichen EPS von 6,18 USD – deutlich unter dem Konsens von ca. 7,17–7,23 USD. Hauptursachen des Misses waren: 2,4 Mrd. USD Sonderbelastungen aus Rechtsstreitigkeiten, 1,18 Mrd. USD Abfindungskosten sowie explodierende Gesamt-Capex von 31,08 Mrd. USD im Quartal, die die operative Marge von 43 % (Vorjahr) auf 31 % drückten. Umsatz von 60,8 Mrd. USD übertraf zwar den Konsens (~60,2 Mrd. USD), konnte die EPS-Verfehlung aber nicht kompensieren. Die Aktie fiel nach Börsenschluss rund 8–10 %. Quellen: Investing.com ('Meta misses EPS in Q2 2026'), 24/7 Wall St. ('Miss, EPS & Revenue'), Yahoo Finance ('Meta misses on Q2 earnings, stock tumbles'), AlphaStreet (Konsensschätzung 7,23 USD bestätigt).

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