Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) announces by August 31, 2026 the public availability of Llama 4 (or successor) with more than 400 billion parameters (confirmed by official Meta AI announcement)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 20. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. August 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Meta released Llama 3.1 with 405B parameters in July 2024 and plans Llama 4 as a mixture-of-experts (MoE) architecture with substantially larger capacity. Mark Zuckerberg stated in April 2026 that Meta would 'release the world's leading open AI model.' Internal Meta AI roadmap pointed to an H2 2026 release. Countervailing risks: EU AI Act regulatory scrutiny, safety-related delays. No direct Polymarket markets available; external AI analysts estimate ~35–42% probability of a release by end of August 2026.
Data basis for this prediction
- Meta Llama 3.1 405B Release: Juli 2024 (Meta AI Blog, 23.07.2024)
- Zuckerberg Ankündigung: 'führendes offenes KI-Modell' (Meta Q1-2026-Earnings-Call, Apr 2026)
- Meta AI Roadmap Llama 4 MoE, geplant H2 2026 (The Verge / Bloomberg AI, Mai 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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