⚽ Sports · Next Year

Mercedes AMG Petronas F1 Team wins the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' World Championship (season finale approx. November 29, 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. November 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

82%

Polymarket prices Mercedes at 84% probability for the Constructors' title (as of July 16, 2026). Mercedes leads with 262 points ahead of Ferrari (190) and McLaren (141) — a 72-point gap to Ferrari and 121 points ahead of McLaren after just 7 races. Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) also dominates the Drivers' championship at 59% on Polymarket. Even with a strong McLaren/Norris late-season surge, closing a 121-point deficit without precedent after only 7 races would be near-impossible. Compatible with the existing open prediction 'Norris wins Drivers' title'.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket: F1 Constructors' Champion 2026 — Mercedes 84% (16.07.2026)
Polymarket: F1 Drivers' Champion 2026 — Antonelli 59% (16.07.2026)
Weex.com: F1 2026 Standings — Mercedes 262 Pkt, Ferrari 190, McLaren 141 (Juli 2026)
Financefeeds.com: Polymarket F1-Märkte — $196,9 Mio. Handelsvolumen (Juli 2026)

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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