⚽ Sports · Next Year

Mercedes AMG Petronas F1 Team wins the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' World Championship (confirmed by FIA after the last race of the season, approx. November/December 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. August 2026 · Predicted for 29. November 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

73%

Mercedes leads the Constructors' Championship with 425 points, 87 points clear of Ferrari – Kimi Antonelli (242 pts) and George Russell (183 pts) occupy P1 and P2 in the Drivers' standings. With ~11 races remaining, Ferrari would need to take almost all the remaining points to close the gap. Bookmaker odds for Mercedes as Constructors' champion: ~-450 US / +110 (implies 48–82% depending on bookmaker). Given the lead and the strength of both Mercedes drivers, we estimate probability at ~73%. Mercedes' last Constructors' title was 2021 (eight in a row from 2014–2021).

Data basis for this prediction

F1 Konstrukteurswertung: Mercedes 425 Punkte, 87 vor Ferrari (F1-Fansite.com, 26.08.2026)
Buchmacherquoten Konstrukteurstitel: Mercedes -450 / +110 (Covers.com / Sportsbettingdime.com, 2026)
Kalshi: F1 Drivers & Constructors Championship Odds (Kalshi.com, 2026)
Yahoo Sports / ESPN: Antonelli 6 Siege, 8 Podien für Mercedes 2026 (26.08.2026)

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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