📈 Economy · Next Month

McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD) beats the Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $3.35 per share (July 29, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

63%

McDonald's reports Q2 2026 results on July 29. The global value menu strategy ('McValue') and AI-driven drive-through optimization are driving traffic and average check. Consensus ~$3.35 EPS (trend: Q2 2024 actual $2.97 adjusted, ~8–10% annual growth). MCD has fully recovered from the 2024/25 E. coli setback. Beat rate over last 8 quarters per Marketbeat: >80%. International franchise business (>50% of operating income) stabilizes results independently of US consumer sentiment. No Polymarket market for MCD EPS.

Data basis for this prediction

Marketbeat.com: McDonald's Q2 2026 Earnings Date — 29.07.2026
Yahoo Finance: MCD Q2 2026 Earnings Preview (Juli 2026)
FactSet-Trendextrapolation: MCD Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens ca. $3.35
Tickerleague.com: S&P 500 Q2 2026 Earnings Season — Beat-Rate bisher ~67%

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

McDonald's meldete für Q2 2026 (Ergebnis veröffentlicht 29. Juli 2026) ein bereinigtes Non-GAAP-EPS von 3,38 USD und übertraf damit die Konsensschätzung von ca. 3,32–3,35 USD. Der GAAP-EPS lag bei 3,32 USD (Diluted), bereinigt um Restrukturierungskosten von 0,06 USD ergibt sich 3,38 USD. Das entspricht einem Beat von ca. 1,8 %. Quellen: PR Newswire (McDonald's offizielle Pressemitteilung Q2 2026), StockTitan, 247WallSt, Investing.com Earnings-Call-Transkript. Hinweis: Revenue mit 7,10 Mrd. USD verfehlte knapp die Konsenserwartung von 7,13 Mrd. USD, und das globale Comparable-Sales-Wachstum verlangsamte sich auf +1,3 %; die Vorhersage bezog sich jedoch explizit auf den EPS-Beat, der eingetreten ist.

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,450 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.

73%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

US Federal Reserve raises the Federal Funds target range by 25 basis points on 16 September 2026 (FOMC decision)

Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.

53%

Next Week · Predicted for 16. Sep 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,000 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by XETRA closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.

48%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026