📈 Economy · Next Month

McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD) beats the Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $3.35 per share (July 29, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

63%

McDonald's reports Q2 2026 results on July 29. The global value menu strategy ('McValue') and AI-driven drive-through optimization are driving traffic and average check. Consensus ~$3.35 EPS (trend: Q2 2024 actual $2.97 adjusted, ~8–10% annual growth). MCD has fully recovered from the 2024/25 E. coli setback. Beat rate over last 8 quarters per Marketbeat: >80%. International franchise business (>50% of operating income) stabilizes results independently of US consumer sentiment. No Polymarket market for MCD EPS.

Data basis for this prediction

Marketbeat.com: McDonald's Q2 2026 Earnings Date — 29.07.2026
Yahoo Finance: MCD Q2 2026 Earnings Preview (Juli 2026)
FactSet-Trendextrapolation: MCD Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens ca. $3.35
Tickerleague.com: S&P 500 Q2 2026 Earnings Season — Beat-Rate bisher ~67%

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

McDonald's meldete für Q2 2026 (Ergebnis veröffentlicht 29. Juli 2026) ein bereinigtes Non-GAAP-EPS von 3,38 USD und übertraf damit die Konsensschätzung von ca. 3,32–3,35 USD. Der GAAP-EPS lag bei 3,32 USD (Diluted), bereinigt um Restrukturierungskosten von 0,06 USD ergibt sich 3,38 USD. Das entspricht einem Beat von ca. 1,8 %. Quellen: PR Newswire (McDonald's offizielle Pressemitteilung Q2 2026), StockTitan, 247WallSt, Investing.com Earnings-Call-Transkript. Hinweis: Revenue mit 7,10 Mrd. USD verfehlte knapp die Konsenserwartung von 7,13 Mrd. USD, und das globale Comparable-Sales-Wachstum verlangsamte sich auf +1,3 %; die Vorhersage bezog sich jedoch explizit auf den EPS-Beat, der eingetreten ist.

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