Marriott International (NASDAQ: MAR) beats the adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $3.05 per share in Q2 2026 results (August 4, 2026, confirmed by Marriott press release)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 28. July 2026
·
Predicted for 4. August 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
Marriott reports Q2 2026 on August 4. Consensus is $3.05–3.06 EPS (+14–16% vs Q2 2025: $2.65). In Q1 2026, Marriott beat estimates by $0.16 (actual $2.72 vs. consensus $2.56 — +6.3% surprise). Three of the last four quarters produced EPS beats. Global hospitality remains robust: occupancy rates and RevPAR growth underpin the upper margin profile; leisure and business travel demand holds despite the economic cool-down. No Polymarket/Kalshi price available; own estimate based on beat rate, ESP metric, and demand trend.
Data basis for this prediction
- Yahoo Finance: 'Marriott International (MAR) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth' – Consensus $3.06 EPS (Stand 28.07.2026)
- TIKR.com: 'Marriott Q1 2026 Earnings Beat: What the Numbers Say' – beat by $0.16 (Stand 28.07.2026)
- Daily Political: 'Marriott International Q1 2026 beats expectations by $0.16 EPS' (07.05.2026)
- Benzinga: 'Marriott International (MAR) Earnings Estimates, EPS & Revenue' (Stand 28.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
July 2026 employment data will be published on the first Friday of August (August 7, 2026). June 2026 data (released July 2) came in at just 57,000 new jobs — far below the consensus of ~110,000 (SignalPro/CNBC), continuing the downtrend; unemployment rose to 4.2%. Capital Economics expects a July rebound to ~130,000. This prediction is a counter-thesis: ongoing tariff uncertainty, lagged monetary-policy employment effects, and structural weakness in manufacturing could prevent July from reaching 100,000. Probability of 40% reflects honest uncertainty — slightly below 50%, as rebound effects are possible, but the trend remains bearish. No prediction-market price available.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
ExxonMobil reports Q2 2026 before the bell on July 31. Consensus from 19 analysts (Alphastreet) is $3.68 EPS — a ~+124% increase vs Q2 2025 ($1.64), driven by elevated commodity prices and production records. XOM has beaten EPS estimates in four consecutive quarters; the current Earnings Surprise Prediction (ESP) stands at +4.40%, statistically pointing to another upside. Brent crude is trading at ~$96-97/barrel (as of July 25, 2026), well above yearly lows — a clear tailwind for the upstream segment. No Polymarket/Kalshi market identified; calibrated internally based on historical beat rate (~75% of last 8 quarters) and positive ESP metric.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
ISM Services PMI data for July 2026 will be released on August 5. In June 2026 the index stood at 54.0, in May 2026 at 54.5 — keeping the US services sector solidly in expansion territory for months. The 53.0 threshold is significantly below recent readings; a drop below 53 would require an acceleration of the decline of more than 2 index points vs June. Headwinds from softening private consumption and elevated rates (currently 3.50–3.75%) are to be factored in, but insufficient to push below 53. No Polymarket/Kalshi price available; trend extrapolation based on 6-month baseline.