⚽ Sports · Next Month

Mads Pedersen (Lidl-Trek) wins the Maillot Vert (points classification) of the 2026 Tour de France in Paris (July 27, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 27. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

85%

Mads Pedersen leads the Tour de France 2026 points classification after 9 stages by ~75–80 points over the next sprinter. He won Stage 4, collected at intermediate sprints (Bordeaux, Bergerac), and defended the jersey confidently. Remaining sprint stages (11: July 15 Vichy–Nevers; 12: July 16; 17: July 22 Chambéry–Voiron) offer more opportunities. In Alpine summit finishes (Stages 18–20) he concedes few points. No Polymarket/Kalshi market. Only remaining risk: DNF due to crash or illness.

Data basis for this prediction

IDL Pro Cycling: 'Tour 2026: Mads Pedersen takes strong early lead for green jersey' (12.07.2026) – ~75 Pkte Vorsprung
Cyclingnews: TdF 2026 GC Standings – Pedersen trägt nach Stage 9 Grünes Trikot (aktuell)
CyclingStage.com: TdF 2026 Points Classification Stage-by-Stage (Stand Stage 7: +75 Pkte Vorsprung)
CyclingUpToDate.com: 'I spent quite a few bullets – Pedersen maximiert Punktevorsprung auch im Tourmalet'

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Mads Pedersen (Lidl-Trek) gewann das Grüne Trikot der Tour de France 2026 mit 527 Punkten – bestätigt durch procyclinguk.com

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