⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Kylian Mbappé scores at least one goal in the FIFA World Cup 2026 semifinal France vs. Spain (July 14, 2026, AT&T Stadium Dallas)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 14. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

52%

Mbappé has scored 8 goals in this tournament (joint top scorer with Messi) and averages a goal every 65 minutes. He has historically scored in 2 of 3 professional matches against Spain. Aggregated bookmaker odds for at least one Mbappé goal (including extra time) imply ~51% (-105). Polymarket gives France 39% to win the whole tournament. The existing prediction about Dembélé scoring concerns the winger role; Mbappé as the goal machine and lead scorer is an entirely independent bet.

Data basis for this prediction

Buchmacherquoten Mbappé vs. Spanien (mind. 1 Tor, inkl. ET): -105 ≈ 51% (DraftKings/bet365, 13. Juli 2026)
WM 2026 Torschützenliste: Mbappé & Messi je 8 Tore (bookies.com, 13. Juli 2026)
Polymarket WM-Sieger: Frankreich 39%, Stand 14. Juli 2026
CBS Sports France vs. Spain Semifinal Preview & Odds (13. Juli 2026)

Verdict: Miss

Frankreich verlor das Halbfinale am 14. Juli 2026 gegen Spanien mit 0:2 (Tore: Oyarzabal 22./Elfmeter, Porro 58.). Mbappé erzielte kein Tor – er hatte laut ESPN/NBC/Washington Post lediglich 3 Schüsse, keinen davon aufs Tor (0.3 xG für ganz Frankreich aus 10 Schüssen). Spaniens Defensive neutralisierte die gesamte französische Offensive. Mbappé scheiterte u.a. aus spitzem Winkel an Torhüter Unai Simón (64.) und schoss kurz danach knapp vorbei (67.). Quellen: ESPN (france-0-2-spain), Washington Post (2026/07/14), Sportschau.de (wm-spielbericht-frankreich-spanien)

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