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Kyle Chalmers (Australia) wins gold in the men's 100m freestyle swimming at the 2026 Commonwealth Games (Tollcross ISC, Glasgow, 28 July 2026)
Probability
65%
Kyle Chalmers is the defending Commonwealth champion in the 100m freestyle (gold 2018 Gold Coast, gold 2022 Birmingham) and won the Australian national championship again in June 2026. Per the Glasgow 2026 official swimming preview, 'record books beckon' for the athlete known as 'King Kyle'. Glasgow2026.com explicitly lists 28 July as the competition day. As triple defending champion and national champion, probability estimated at ~65%. Competition comes primarily from Ben Proud (GBR) and Andrew Abrosimov (AUS).
Data basis for this prediction
- Glasgow2026.com: 'Swimming preview – Record books beckon for Chalmers (AUS) and Le Clos (RSA)' (Juli 2026)
- Olympics.com: Kyle Chalmers – CWG 2026 how to watch live (Juli 2026)
- CommonwealthGames.com.au: Chalmers 7 CWG-Goldmedaillen in zwei Ausgaben (Juli 2026)
Verdict: Miss
Kyle Chalmers gewann NICHT Gold. Der Australier Flynn Southam siegte am 28. Juli 2026 im 100-m-Freistil-Finale der Männer mit 47,13 Sekunden und entthronste damit Chalmers. Silber ging an Matt Richards (Wales, 47,64 s), Bronze an Kyle Chalmers (47,74 s). Chalmers war zwar schnellster Qualifikant, wurde aber von seinem jüngeren Landsmann geschlagen. Quelle: olympics.com ('Flynn Southam stuns Kyle Chalmers for 100m freestyle gold') und ABC News.