Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes AMG Petronas, ITA) takes pole position in qualifying for the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix (Hungaroring, Budapest, 25 July 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. July 2026
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Predicted for 25. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Mercedes has won all 10 qualifying sessions in the 2026 F1 season. Antonelli has taken 6 of those 10 poles (Russell the remaining 4). Aggregated bookmaker odds show Antonelli as race favorite at +150 to +160 (TheSpread.com, Covers.com, DraftKings, as of 22 July 2026), implying strong qualifying expectations. No Polymarket market for qualifying specifically; probability for Antonelli pole estimated at ~65% (remaining ~35% for teammate Russell or Ferrari surprise).
Data basis for this prediction
- TheSpread.com: '2026 F1 Hungarian GP – Antonelli Favored at Hungaroring' (+150–160, 22. Juli 2026)
- Covers.com / DraftKings: Hungarian GP opening odds (Juli 2026)
- F1 2026: Mercedes 10/10 Qualifying-Dominanz (Yahoo Sports, Juli 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) sicherte sich die Pole Position beim Großen Preis von Ungarn 2026 – nicht Antonelli. Ferrari brach damit eine Serie von 10 Mercedes-Poles (Motorsport.com bestätigt).
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Nina Kennedy is the reigning Olympic champion (Paris 2024 gold ahead of Katie Moon/USA) and co-world champion Budapest 2023. In July 2026 she already cleared 4.80m at the Diamond League meeting in Budapest – a strong form signal at the same venue. Competition from Katie Moon (USA), Sandi Morris (USA) and Alysha Newman (CAN, Olympic bronze 2024). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~35–38% for Kennedy.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Marileidy Paulino won gold in the 400m at the Paris 2024 Olympics and is the reigning Olympic champion. Femke Bol (NED), who long dominated, has switched to the 800m in 2026 (her Budapest 2026 entry confirmed in the 800m), so she does not compete in the 400m flat. This clears the path for Paulino: her next serious rivals would be Natalia Kaczmarek (POL, European champion) or Amber Anning (GBR). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~48% for Paulino.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Lando Norris sits P4 in the 2026 drivers' championship (171 points); McLaren is P3 in the constructors' championship (287 points). The Marina Bay street circuit favours high downforce – typical McLaren terrain. Norris won in Singapore in 2024 and knows the track well. Main rivals per bookmaker odds: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes, already Spain GP winner), Max Verstappen (Red Bull). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~22–25% for Norris. Polymarket: no dedicated market found for individual F1 races.