⚽ Sports · Next Week

Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes AMG Petronas, ITA) wins the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix (Hungaroring, Budapest, July 26, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 26. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

37%

Antonelli leads the 2026 drivers' championship with 204 points (45 ahead of Hamilton, 50 ahead of Russell). Aggregated bookmaker odds (DraftKings: +150, TheSpread: +160, as of July 20–22, 2026) imply a win probability of approx. 38–39% for Antonelli — well ahead of Lewis Hamilton (~21%, +330) and Charles Leclerc (~18%, +350). The Hungaroring favors aerodynamically strong cars with high cornering speed — a proven strength of the Mercedes W17 in 2026. Charles Leclerc's podium finish is already an open separate prediction; this race-winner prediction is independent and compatible with it. Our probability follows the market anchor of ~38–39%.

Data basis for this prediction

TheSpread.com – F1 Hungarian GP 2026 Odds: Antonelli +160 (~38,5 % implizit), Stand 20. Juli 2026
DraftKings – F1 Hungarian GP 2026 Opening Odds: Antonelli +150, Hamilton +330, Leclerc +350
RacingNews365 – F1 Driver Standings 2026: Antonelli 204 Pkt., Hamilton 159, Russell 154 (Stand 22. Juli 2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) gewann den GP Ungarn nicht – Norris siegte (Quelle: formula1.com)

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