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⚽ Sports · Next Week

Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes-AMG Petronas) finishes on the podium at the 2026 Formula 1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix (P1, 2 or 3) (Baku City Circuit, September 26, 2026, confirmed by FIA or Formula1.com by September 27, 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. September 2026 · Predicted for 26. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
41%

Kimi Antonelli qualified P4 on September 25, 2026 – directly behind Verstappen (P1), Sainz (P2) and Lawson (P3). Despite a better grid slot, Antonelli is absent from all open podium predictions while Russell (P5) and Norris (P7) are included. Baku's long straight, high safety car frequency (>60% of races historically) and street circuit unpredictability make P4 starters credible podium candidates. No Polymarket/Kalshi data for Antonelli specifically; own estimate ~41% based on grid slot and head-to-head vs. listed podium contenders.

Data basis for this prediction
  • F1-Qualifying Baku 2026: Antonelli P4, Verstappen P1 (Pole), Sainz P2, Lawson P3, Russell P5, Norris P7 (Sky Sports F1, 25. September 2026)
  • Offene Baku-Race-Podium-Predictions: Norris (Sieg), Verstappen, Lawson, Sainz, Russell – Antonelli nicht gelistet (Cassandra.news, 24. September 2026)
  • Baku City Circuit: Safety-Car-Rate historisch >60 % der Rennen, Überholen auf 2,2-km-Geraden (FIA-Streckenprofil)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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