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· Next Year
Kimi Antonelli wins the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' World Championship
Probability
40%
Antonelli leads after 9 of 22 races with 179 points, 25 ahead of Mercedes teammate George Russell (154) and 32 ahead of Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari, 147). The championship is tight: Russell won the Austrian GP, Leclerc won the British GP (July 5), while Antonelli suffered technical problems. 13 races remain with up to ~338 available points. Mercedes dominates the Constructors' Championship (333 pts). Aggregate betting odds imply ~35–45% for Antonelli, ~28–32% for Russell, ~18% for Hamilton. Most likely single outcome but well below 50%.
Data basis for this prediction
- F1-Fahrerstand nach British GP: Antonelli 179, Russell 154, Hamilton 147 (f1-fansite.com / motorsport.com, 11.07.2026)
- Leclerc gewinnt British GP 05.07.2026; Russell schließt Lücke auf 25 Pkt. (news.gp / motorsport.com)
- Belgien GP: 17.–19. Juli 2026, Spa-Francorchamps, Runde 12/22 (formula1.com / Sky Sports)
- Buchmacherquoten implizieren Antonelli ~35–45 % Titelchance (aggregiert, Stand 11.07.2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.