⚽ Sports · Next Month

Canada wins gold in the men's 4×100m athletics relay at the 2026 Commonwealth Games (Scotstoun Stadium, Glasgow, ca. August 1, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 1. August 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

40%

Canada's quartet (De Grasse, Blake, Brown, Rodney) are reigning Olympic 4×100m gold medalists (Paris 2024) and 2025 World Championships silver medalists. De Grasse: 'We're gold medalist contenders.' Toughest rival: England (Hughes, Mitchell-Blake, Efoloko). Jamaica had serious form issues (4th in World Relays 2026 heats). No specific market odds found on Polymarket/Metaculus. Canada and England split the favorite role at an estimated ~38–42% each.

Data basis for this prediction

CBC Sports: 'The Commonwealth Games are back' – Canada 4×100m Preview, Juli 2026
Olympics.com: CWG 2026 Athletics Preview – De Grasse-Zitat Juli 2026
Jamaica Observer: 'World Relays: Jamaica 4th in men's 4×100m heat', Mai 2026
Team England Athletics Squad Glasgow 2026 – Zharnel Hughes confirmed

Verdict: Miss

Australien gewann Gold in der Männer-4×100m-Staffel bei den Commonwealth Games 2026 in Glasgow am 1. August 2026 in 38,07 s. Kanada (Brown, Blake, Rodney, De Grasse) belegte mit 38,11 s den zweiten Platz und gewann Silber – zunächst wurde Kanada wegen eines angeblichen Spurlinienverstoßes beim Wechsel disqualifiziert, nach erfolgreichem Einspruch aber die Silbermedaille zuerkannt. Nigeria wurde Dritter. Härtester Gegner war also nicht England (wie in der Prognose angenommen), sondern Australien. Quellen: https://www.olympics.com/en/news/commonwealth-games-2026-australia-edges-out-nigeria-ghana-men-4x100m | https://www.cbc.ca/sports/commonwealth-games-canadian-roundup-day-9-aug-1-9.7292243

Related Predictions

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Manchester City defeats SSC Napoli — UEFA Champions League 2026/27 League Phase Matchday 5 (Etihad Stadium, Manchester, 24 November 2026, 21:00 CET, confirmed via UEFA or BBC Sport by 25 November 2026)

Manchester City (2026/27 record: 5-1) host SSC Napoli on 24 November 2026 at the Etihad. Bookmaker odds imply ~80% for a City home win (quote ~1/4); a Napoli away win trades at ~10/1 (~9% implied). Statistical models assign City 66% win probability and a draw 18%. Napoli have never won away against a Premier League top-6 side in this Champions League season. Market anchor: bookmaker odds imply 79–80%; own estimate follows the conservative model value of 66%, as Napoli historically respond better to continental pressure than their domestic form alone suggests.

66%

Next Month · Predicted for 24. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Borussia Dortmund defeats SV 07 Elversberg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Signal Iduna Park, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

BVB sits 2nd in the Bundesliga after 8 matchdays (18 pts) with the best defence in the league (6 goals conceded). Bookmaker odds for a Dortmund home win imply ~79% (quote ~1.26); statistical models put BVB at 74.96%. Expected Goals: BVB 2.47 xG vs. Elversberg 0.81 xG. Elversberg failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures — no other club in the division is currently as barren on the road. Probability set slightly below market implied to account for Elversberg's proven giant-killing capacity this season.

75%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

RB Leipzig defeats FC Augsburg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

RB Leipzig have never lost a Bundesliga home fixture against FC Augsburg (10 games: 9 wins, 1 draw). Augsburg are currently on a 6-match winless run (3 draws, 3 losses) — the longest such drought in the top flight right now. Winger Antonio Nusa is in excellent form; a Leipzig win would set a Bundesliga record against Augsburg. Bookmaker odds imply ~60% (quote ~1.65); the unblemished home record and Augsburg's poor form justify raising the estimate to 65%.

65%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026