Kaden Groves (Alpecin-Deceuninck, AUS) wins Vuelta a España 2026 Stage 13 (Almuñécar → Loja, 192.8 km, September 4, 2026, confirmed by UCI result or lavuelta.es)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 2. September 2026
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Predicted for 4. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Stage 13 is a 192.8km medium-mountain stage with three categorized climbs (incl. Puerto de Granada, 6.5km at 6.2%) and a 32km flat run-in to Loja — classic profile for a caught breakaway and bunch sprint if the peloton reunites on the descent. Kaden Groves won Stage 11 (confirmed) and is forecast in existing Cassandra predictions for Stages 15, 16, and 17. Alpecin-Deceuninck will protect him. Risk: mountains select too hard, a breakaway stays away. No betting market available; internal calibration ~33%.
Data basis for this prediction
- granfondoguide.com: Groves gewinnt Vuelta 2026 Etappe 11 Cartagena–Lorca (2.9.2026)
- lavuelta.es: Stage 13 profile Almuñécar → Loja, 192.8km, drei KOMs (2026)
- Olympics.com: Vuelta 2026 GC – Enric Mas führt vor Roglič mit 1:18 nach Etappe 12 (2.9.2026)
- Procyclingstats.com: Vuelta a España 2026 Stage 13 result (4.9.2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Kaden Groves gewann Etappe 13 nicht. Procyclingstats und Cyclingnews bestätigen einen anderen Sieger aus der Ausreißergruppe. Groves (Sprinter) ist kein geeigneter Kandidat für eine Hügeletappe.
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