⚽ Sports · Next Week

Kaden Groves (Alpecin-Deceuninck, AUS) wins Stage 11 of Vuelta a España 2026 (Cartagena → Lorca, 151.3 km, September 2, 2026, confirmed by UCI result or lavuelta.es)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 31. August 2026 · Predicted for 2. September 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

25%

Stage 11 (Cartagena → Lorca, 151.3 km) is predominantly flat; the only classified climb (Alto de Aledo) finishes 33.5 km before the line — typical for a reduced or mass sprint. Groves won Stage 10 showing top form. Pogačar has abandoned the 2026 Vuelta (confirmed CyclingNews), reducing GC pressure during sprint stages. Bookmaker odds imply ~20–28% for the leading sprinter; 25% for Groves after his stage win is a conservative calibration.

Data basis for this prediction

Vuelta a España 2026 Etappe 11 Streckenprofil: Cartagena → Lorca 151,3 km, Alto de Aledo 33,5 km vor Ziel (lavuelta.es, cyclingstage.com)
Kaden Groves: Sieger Etappe 10 Vuelta 2026 (UCI/CyclingUpToDate, 1. Sept. 2026)
Tadej Pogačar: Aufgabe Vuelta a España 2026 bestätigt (CyclingNews, Aug. 2026)

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Kaden Groves (Alpecin-Deceuninck, AUS) gewann Etappe 11 der Vuelta a España 2026 (Cartagena → Lorca, 151,3 km). Auch: Simon Yates und Julian Alaphilippe stiegen aus dem Rennen aus. Quelle: granfondoguide.com.

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