⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Jonas Vingegaard (Visma–Lease a Bike, DEN) wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 15 (Champagnole–Plateau de Solaison, 183.9 km, July 19, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. July 2026 · Predicted for 19. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

32%

The 183.9 km HC mountain stage to Plateau de Solaison (11.3 km, avg. 9% gradient) is prime Vingegaard terrain: Racing Post and idlprocycling.com list him as chief favourite for long, steady Alpine climbs. GC leader Pogačar (+3:36 over Vingegaard after Stage 13) will likely pace his limit; Isaac del Toro (UAE) is a wildcard attacker. Bookmakers imply ~30–35% for Vingegaard on this type of summit finish. His historical dominance on multi-hour Alpine stages makes him the top pick.

Data basis for this prediction

Racing Post: Stage 15 TdF 2026 preview, Vingegaard main favourite (19.07.2026)
idlprocycling.com: Stage 15 Solaison — 'almost time to rest, first del Toro's playing field' (19.07.2026)
TdF 2026 GC after Stage 13: Pogačar +3:36 Vingegaard, +4:06 Evenepoel (procyclingstats.com)
cyclingstage.com: Stage 15 route profile, HC Solaison 11,3 km / 9% (19.07.2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Tadej Pogačar (UAE) gewann Etappe 15 solo am Plateau de Solaison. Vingegaard verlor Zeit. Quelle: Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, ProCyclingStats, 19. Juli 2026.

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