Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike, Denmark) finishes the Tour de France 2026 in 2nd place overall (Paris, 27 July 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 16. July 2026
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Predicted for 27. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Vingegaard sits 3:36 behind Pogačar in 2nd place after Stage 12. He is the only rider in the peloton with a proven ability to limit Pogačar over three weeks. Evenepoel (3rd per existing open prediction) trails Vingegaard. Remaining Alpine stages and the ITT (Stage 16, 26.1 km Évian–Thonon) give Vingegaard potential time gains over Evenepoel, not Pogačar. Consistent with existing open predictions 'Pogačar wins TdF' and 'Evenepoel finishes 3rd'.
Data basis for this prediction
- Tour de France 2026 GC nach Etappe 12: 1. Pogačar (UAE) 2. Vingegaard +3:36 3. Evenepoel (Wikipedia/ProCyclingStats, Stand 16.07.2026)
- TdF 2026 Restprogramm: Alpen-Etappen 14-18, ITT Etappe 16 (Évian–Thonon, 26,1 km) (LeTour.fr Roadbook)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Schauffele is the reigning Open Champion (2024, Royal Troon) and four-time major winner. After Round 1 (July 16) he stood at -1 — a modest start requiring recovery. Yet links golf on fast fairways is his strength; Royal Birkdale rewards precise iron play, Schauffele's core skill. Surprise R1 leader is Jackson Suber (-5); established players typically recover in R2–R4. No specific top-10 odds for Schauffele found in market data; Tommy Fleetwood and Viktor Hovland top-10 predictions already separately open. Honest calibration from a weak start: 38%.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Pogačar leads the GC after Stage 13 with 3:36 over Vingegaard and 4:06 over Evenepoel. Stage 14 finishes at Le Markstein (Vosges) — a summit arrival Pogačar won in 2023 in a sprint from a breakaway group. At 155.3 km with 7 climbs and 3,800m of gain, this is a pure climbers' day. Polymarket prices Pogačar at 95% for overall TdF victory. He is the standout climbing favourite, but with Stage 15 (Plateau de Solaison, already separately predicted) harder, he could let a break go today.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
DeChambeau carded a 67 (-4) in Round 1, placing him near the top of the leaderboard. As a former major champion with high pressure consistency, he is structurally capable of a Top-5 finish. No prediction market anchor; own estimate based on R1 performance and major form. Does not contradict the existing 'MacIntyre wins' open prediction.