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📈 Economy · Tomorrow

Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) beats Q3-FY2026-EPS consensus estimate of $2.66 — earnings report October 13, 2026 before market open (confirmed by JNJ Investor Relations or Bloomberg by October 13, 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. October 2026 · Predicted for 13. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
68%

Johnson & Johnson reports Q3-FY2026 earnings on October 13, 2026 before market open. Analyst consensus EPS stands at $2.66 (MarketBeat, October 12, 2026). J&J has beaten consensus EPS estimates in approximately 75-80% of recent quarters. The Innovative Medicine segment (oncology, immunology) and stable MedTech demand support another beat. No specific Polymarket or Metaculus market found; probability conservatively derived from historical beat rate.

Data basis for this prediction
  • MarketBeat: JNJ Q3-FY2026 EPS-Konsens 2,66 USD (Stand 12.10.2026)
  • J&J historische EPS-Beat-Rate ~75–80 % (letzte 20 Quartale, Macrotrends/MarketBeat)
  • JNJ Investor Relations: Ergebnistermin 13.10.2026 vor 8:30 Uhr ET

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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Citigroup reports Q3-FY2026 results on October 13, 2026, pre-market open. General consensus: ~$2.65 EPS (Pluang/market majority), Alphastreet estimate: $2.62. Benzinga anticipates higher year-over-year earnings. The 90-day estimate stood at $2.69 — the modest downward drift suggests conservative analyst positioning, which increases the probability of a positive surprise. Large US banks historically beat EPS consensus in ~65% of quarters. The $2.65 threshold corresponds to the upper end of the consensus range.

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US Federal Reserve holds the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% at the October 28, 2026 FOMC meeting (confirmed by Fed press release or Bloomberg by October 28, 2026, 2:00 PM ET)

The US Federal Reserve last raised rates on September 16, 2026 by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%. CME FedWatch data (rateprobability.com, October 12, 2026) shows only ~16-18% probability of another hike at the October 28 meeting; ~82-84% for an unchanged hold. Weak September payrolls and mixed inflation data have shifted the consensus timing for the next hike to the December 9, 2026 meeting, where markets price ~76% probability of a move. No specific Polymarket market found for the October meeting; anchor: CME FedWatch ~84% Hold.

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