Jessica Pegula (USA, seed 3) reaches the US Open 2026 women's singles semi-final (approx. 12 September 2026, confirmed by USTA or WTA)
Hit
β¦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 4. September 2026
Β·
Predicted for 12. September 2026
Β·
Based on: Statistical Pattern
Pegula entered as 3rd seed. She reached the quarter-final at the 2022 US Open and the semi-final in 2023. As a top seed at one of her strongest home tournaments she is a structural favourite for the semi-final. The open forecasts for Coco Gauff (SF) and Aryna Sabalenka (title) are compatible β a semi-final with Pegula, Gauff, Sabalenka and one other player is realistic. No direct prediction market anchor; estimate based on historical seeding performance.
Data basis for this prediction
- US Open 2023 Women's SF: Pegula erreichte Halbfinale (USTA)
- US Open 2026 Draw: Pegula als Nr. 3 gesetzt (ESPN, August 2026)
- Historische SF-Rate fΓΌr Top-4-Seeds bei Grand Slams: ~50β60 % (WTA-Statistiken)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Jessica Pegula (USA) erreichte das Halbfinale der US Open 2026 Damen-Einzel, verlor dort am 10. September gegen Aryna Sabalenka 5-7, 2-6. Quelle: CBS Sports / CNN US Open 2026 Halbfinale.
β½ Sports
β¦ AI
Manchester City (2026/27 record: 5-1) host SSC Napoli on 24 November 2026 at the Etihad. Bookmaker odds imply ~80% for a City home win (quote ~1/4); a Napoli away win trades at ~10/1 (~9% implied). Statistical models assign City 66% win probability and a draw 18%. Napoli have never won away against a Premier League top-6 side in this Champions League season. Market anchor: bookmaker odds imply 79β80%; own estimate follows the conservative model value of 66%, as Napoli historically respond better to continental pressure than their domestic form alone suggests.
β½ Sports
β¦ AI
BVB sits 2nd in the Bundesliga after 8 matchdays (18 pts) with the best defence in the league (6 goals conceded). Bookmaker odds for a Dortmund home win imply ~79% (quote ~1.26); statistical models put BVB at 74.96%. Expected Goals: BVB 2.47 xG vs. Elversberg 0.81 xG. Elversberg failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures β no other club in the division is currently as barren on the road. Probability set slightly below market implied to account for Elversberg's proven giant-killing capacity this season.
β½ Sports
β¦ AI
RB Leipzig have never lost a Bundesliga home fixture against FC Augsburg (10 games: 9 wins, 1 draw). Augsburg are currently on a 6-match winless run (3 draws, 3 losses) β the longest such drought in the top flight right now. Winger Antonio Nusa is in excellent form; a Leipzig win would set a Bundesliga record against Augsburg. Bookmaker odds imply ~60% (quote ~1.65); the unblemished home record and Augsburg's poor form justify raising the estimate to 65%.