Jasper Philipsen wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 11 (Vichy–Nevers, 161 km, bunch sprint, July 15)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 15. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Stage 11 (Vichy–Nevers, 161 km, July 15) is the shortest flat stage of this year's Tour (CyclingStage.com); all three previous TdF arrivals in Nevers ended in bunch sprints. Jasper Philipsen (Alpecin-Deceuninck) is among the top sprint contenders per cyclist.co.uk. Tim Merlier (also Alpecin) already won Stage 8. Main rivals: Olav Kooij, Biniam Girmay, Arnaud De Lie, Mads Pedersen. With ~4–5 comparable top sprinters, Philipsen's individual probability is ~28%.
Data basis for this prediction
- CyclingStage.com: Etappe 11 Vichy–Nevers, 161 km, Massensprint, 15. Juli 2026
- cyclist.co.uk: Philipsen, Kooij, Merlier, Girmay stärkste Sprinter TdF 2026
- ProCyclingStats: Tim Merlier gewann Etappe 8 (Bergerac) im Massensprint
- FranceLeTour.com Rennkalender: Etappe 11 am 15. Juli 2026 bestätigt
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Tim Merlier (Soudal Quick-Step) gewann Etappe 11 Vichy–Nevers im Massensprint – nicht Jasper Philipsen. (Quelle: Suchergebnis mit Stage-11-Ergebnis)
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