📈 Economy · Next Week

Japan's Ministry of Finance (MoF) buys JPY again in FX market between July 26–31, 2026 (direct currency intervention, confirmed by Reuters, Bloomberg, or Japan MoF)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 25. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

28%

USD/JPY stands at 163.83 on July 25 – a 40-year low. Japan intervened massively in April 2026 (¥11.73 trillion ≈ $73.4B) and possibly again on July 11 ($20.7B per Reuters), without lasting effect. MoF and BoJ officials have repeatedly warned against 'excessive volatility.' US Treasury urges further BoJ rate hikes. Another intervention this week is possible, but given intervention fatigue and no fresh MoF warning today: calibration 28%.

Data basis for this prediction

USD/JPY 25.07.2026: 163,83 (40-Jahres-Tief) (Wise / TradingEconomics)
Japan April 2026 Intervention: ¥11,73 Bio. ($73,4 Mrd.) (Japan Times, 02.05.2026)
Mögliche Juli-Intervention $20,7 Mrd. am 11.07.2026 (Investing.com, Juli 2026)
Lazard: 'Yen Intervention July 2026' (Lazard Asset Management, Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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