ICE NY Cocoa September 2026 (CCU26) stays above USD 5,700 per tonne on July 14, 2026
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 14. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
CCU26 closed at USD 6,057/t on July 10, 2026 (−6.04% from the recent 6-month high ~6,447). El Niño supply risks for Côte d'Ivoire 2026/27 (StoneX estimate: 1.8 MMT, −18% YoY) and structurally thin stocks support prices. Headwinds: ICE inventory near a 2-year high (~3.15 million bags) and cumulative Côte d'Ivoire port deliveries +21% YoY. Threshold 5,700 = −5.9% vs. Friday close — a moderate buffer for one trading day (Monday July 14) given daily volatility of ~4–6%. No Polymarket/Kalshi market available.
Data basis for this prediction
- ICE NY CCU26 Schlusskurs 10.07.2026: 6.057 USD/t (TradingEconomics)
- Barchart: CCU26 am 10.07.2026 −6,04% auf 6.057 USD/t (Tageshoch ca. 6.447 USD)
- StoneX: Elfenbeinküste 2026/27 Ernte 1,8 Mio. t (−18% YoY), April 2026
- ICE Kakao-Inventar: 3,15 Mio. Säcke (~2-Jahres-Hoch, Barchart Juli 2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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