🍾 Beverages · Next Week

ICE New York Cocoa September 2026 (CCU26) trades above $5,800 per tonne on July 18, 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

68%

ICE NY Cocoa (CCU26) traded at $6,065–$6,455/t on July 10, 2026 — confirmed Cassandra hit for '>$5,500 on July 12.' On July 10, the price fell -6% (profit-taking after highs) to approx. $5,700–$5,900/t, but remains well above the new threshold. The structural supply deficit in Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire (El Niño aftermath, tree diseases) persists at least through Q3 2026 per ICCO. A decline below $5,800/t by July 18 would require a further ~15–20% correction without a fundamental change — unlikely in a one-week horizon.

Data basis for this prediction

barchart.com CCU26: Schluss 10. Juli 2026 ~5.700–6.065 USD/t (nach -6 % Tagesrückgang)
Hit-Archiv Cassandra: 'CCU26 über 5.500 USD am 12. Juli 2026' bestätigt
ICCO: Kakao-Angebotsdefizit Ghana/Côte d'Ivoire hält bis Q3 2026 an (foreignpolicyjournal.com, 08.07.2026)
Kein Polymarket-Markt spezifisch; fundamentale Einschätzung auf Basis Angebots-Nachfrage-Daten

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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